Month: September 2020

The Scientific Method in Proficiology

In a sense, study­ing generic sen­tient beings is kind of like study­ing a fic­tional uni­verse. There’s no obvi­ous notion of accu­racy or cor­rect­ness – after all, a generic mind is not nec­es­sar­ily an accu­rate depic­tion of human psy­chol­ogy. The whole field seems kind of self-con­tained and any state­ment about the world of the gener­ics frankly appears unfal­si­fi­able, in the same way that the­o­ries about a fic­tional uni­verse are impos­si­ble to dis­prove through experiment.

Why should we care about such fic­tional domains? When there are high stakes to explain or under­stand a phe­nom­e­non, we look toward sci­ence for answers. It is tempt­ing to treat sci­en­tific con­cepts as con­crete things that objec­tively exist, mak­ing sci­en­tific the­o­ries seem much more tightly grounded in real­ity than the afore­men­tioned the­o­ries around fic­tional uni­verses. But I argue that in many cases, the two are not all that dif­fer­ent. Of course, I am not say­ing that sci­en­tific work is purely fic­tional. All bod­ies of sci­ence agree that state­ments must be tested against real-world obser­va­tions in order to be taken seri­ously. However, there are many dif­fer­ent ways to do sci­en­tific work, and by group­ing these meth­ods under a com­mon name we are desen­si­tiz­ing our­selves to their dif­fer­ences. In point­ing out these dif­fer­ences, I will show you how sci­en­tific the­ory can be more fan­tas­ti­cal than we ini­tially expect.

Agents – The Source of Motivation and Action

The last two posts1 were focused on the lens. They dis­cussed its var­i­ous modes of oper­a­tion, the dichotomy between the out­ward-fac­ing “causal esti­mate” and the inward-fac­ing “eval­u­a­tion”, and the prob­lems of for­eign con­text and overgeneralization.

But it’s impor­tant to note that the lens is, at heart, a sta­tis­ti­cal machine. It is only con­cerned with how accu­rately it can per­form its tasks (casual pre­dic­tion, event inter­pre­ta­tion etc.), and does not inten­tion­ally dis­tort itself to sat­isfy any agenda. In other words, the lens lacks agency and a hypo­thet­i­cal “lens-only” generic is only good for mak­ing unin­ter­ested pre­dic­tions or clas­si­fi­ca­tions2.

To breathe more life into the generic mind I intro­duced the agent, a cog­ni­tive process with an inher­ent goal to cause the pro­duc­tion of cer­tain eval­u­a­tions. The con­cept behind its oper­a­tion is as follows:

  • Use the lens to per­form value pre­dic­tion. In other words, given some known prior infor­ma­tion and the desired eval­u­a­tions, fig­ure out what must be in the pos­te­rior infor­ma­tion for the lens to pro­duce such an evaluation.
  • Try to engi­neer the actions and cir­cum­stances of the generic to increase the odds that the right events hap­pen. If this is done suc­cess­fully then the lens will pro­duce the eval­u­a­tions that the agent desires.